Wales vs Norway: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Wales take on Norway in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday, 1 October 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Wales sit 3rd in the UEFA Nations League on 3 points from 4 games, while Norway are 4th on 3 points.

Final result: Wales 2–1 Norway. Wales won the match.

Wales come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games (LLWL), scoring in 1 of them.

Norway come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games (WWLLL), scoring in every game.

In their last 2 meetings, Wales have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 against Norway. These fixtures have averaged 1.5 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Defensively, Wales kept 0 clean sheets and Norway kept 0 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Wales vs Norway is Away win either half with a 88% confidence rating at odds of 1.22. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (1.5 goals per game, 50% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Wales LLWL, Norway WWLLL), the 1-place gap between the sides in the table.