Wales vs Denmark: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Wales take on Denmark in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Wales sit 4th in the UEFA Nations League on 3 points from 3 games, while Denmark are 2nd on 3 points.

Wales come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games (LLW), scoring in 1 of them.

Denmark come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games (LWL), scoring in every game.

In their last 5 meetings, Wales have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 4 against Denmark. These fixtures have averaged 2.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.

Defensively, Wales kept 0 clean sheets and Denmark kept 3 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Wales vs Denmark is Home Win to Nil No with a 80% confidence rating at odds of 1.12. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.2 goals per game, 20% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Wales LLW, Denmark LWL), the 2-place gap between the sides in the table.