Türkiye vs Italy: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Türkiye take on Italy in the UEFA Nations League on Monday, 28 September 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Türkiye sit 3rd in the UEFA Nations League on 0 points from 1 game, while Italy are 4th on 0 points.

Final result: Türkiye 1–4 Italy. Italy won the match.

Türkiye come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 games (LL), scoring in 1 of them.

Italy come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games (LW), scoring in 1 of them.

In their last 5 meetings, Türkiye have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 against Italy. These fixtures have averaged 1.6 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.

Defensively, Türkiye kept 1 clean sheet and Italy kept 2 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Türkiye vs Italy is Predicts if total goals will be over 1 goals with a 75% confidence rating at odds of 1.2. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (1.6 goals per game, 20% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Türkiye LL, Italy LW), the 1-place gap between the sides in the table.