Toulouse vs Lyon: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Toulouse take on Lyon in the Ligue 1 on Sunday, 10 May 2026 at Stadium de Toulouse. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Toulouse sit 15th in the Ligue 1 on 0 points from 1 game, while Lyon are 4th on 3 points.

Toulouse come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 games (DL), failing to score in any of them.

Lyon come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 3 games (DDW), scoring in 1 of them.

In their last 15 meetings, Toulouse have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 9 against Lyon. These fixtures have averaged 3.1 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Defensively, Toulouse kept 1 clean sheet and Lyon kept 4 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Toulouse vs Lyon is Away Team to Score at least one goal with a 95% confidence rating at odds of 1.2. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (3.1 goals per game, 67% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Toulouse DL, Lyon DDW), the 11-place gap between the sides in the table.