Sweden vs Romania: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Sweden take on Romania in the UEFA Nations League on Friday, 25 September 2026 at Strawberry Arena. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Sweden sit 1st in the UEFA Nations League on 10 points from 4 games, while Romania are 4th on 0 points.

Final result: Sweden 2–1 Romania. Sweden won the match.

Sweden come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (LWWDW), scoring in 4 of them.

Romania come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 4 games (LLLL), scoring in 2 of them.

In their last 5 meetings, Sweden have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 against Romania. These fixtures have averaged 1.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.

Defensively, Sweden kept 1 clean sheet and Romania kept 1 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Sweden vs Romania is Home Team to Score at least one goal with a 80% confidence rating at odds of 1.1. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (1.2 goals per game, 20% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Sweden LWWDW, Romania LLLL), the 3-place gap between the sides in the table.