Sweden vs Poland: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Sweden take on Poland in the UEFA Nations League on Monday, 28 September 2026 at Strawberry Arena. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Sweden sit 1st in the UEFA Nations League on 3 points from 1 game, while Poland are 3rd on 1 points.

Final result: Sweden 3–1 Poland. Sweden won the match.

Sweden come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (LDLWW), scoring in 4 of them.

Poland come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 games (DL), scoring in 1 of them.

In their last 5 meetings, Sweden have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 against Poland. These fixtures have averaged 2.4 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

Defensively, Sweden kept 0 clean sheets and Poland kept 1 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Sweden vs Poland is Away Win to Nil No with a 75% confidence rating at odds of 1.12. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.4 goals per game, 40% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Sweden LDLWW, Poland DL), the 2-place gap between the sides in the table.