
UEFA Nations League · 28 September 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
Away Win to Nil No
Will Away Team win the game and keep a clean sheet at regular time
High
confidence
Value analysis
-14% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Sweden take on Poland in the UEFA Nations League on Monday, 28 September 2026 at Strawberry Arena. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Sweden sit 1st in the UEFA Nations League on 3 points from 1 game, while Poland are 3rd on 1 points.
Final result: Sweden 3–1 Poland. Sweden won the match.
Sweden come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (LDLWW), scoring in 4 of them.
Poland come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 games (DL), scoring in 1 of them.
In their last 5 meetings, Sweden have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 against Poland. These fixtures have averaged 2.4 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
Defensively, Sweden kept 0 clean sheets and Poland kept 1 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Sweden vs Poland is Away Win to Nil No with a 75% confidence rating at odds of 1.12. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.4 goals per game, 40% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Sweden LDLWW, Poland DL), the 2-place gap between the sides in the table.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov 2026 | Poland | – | Sweden | UEFA Nations League |
| 28 Sept 2026 | Sweden | – | Poland | UEFA Nations League |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Sweden | 3–2 | Poland | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| 29 Mar 2022 | Poland | 2–0 | Sweden | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| 23 Jun 2021 | Sweden | 3–2 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
| Poland |
| Euro Championship |