
Primeira Liga · 19 September 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
1UP Home
Home Team to Score at least one goal before their opponent
High
confidence
Value analysis
+11% edge · ValueOur model rates this 11% more likely than the odds imply — a potential value edge.
Sporting CP take on Arouca in the Primeira Liga on Saturday, 19 September 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Sporting CP sit 3rd in the Primeira Liga on 14 points from 6 games, while Arouca are 5th on 10 points.
Sporting CP come into this fixture having won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games (WWWWD), scoring in every game.
Arouca come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (WLWDL), scoring in 3 of them.
In their last 15 meetings, Sporting CP have won 10, drawn 2 and lost 1 against Arouca. These fixtures have averaged 2.6 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.
Defensively, Sporting CP kept 5 clean sheets and Arouca kept 1 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Sporting CP vs Arouca is Home Team to Score at least one goal before their opponent with a 100% confidence rating at odds of 1.12. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.6 goals per game, 47% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Sporting CP WWWWD, Arouca WLWDL), the 2-place gap between the sides in the table.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2027 | Arouca | – | Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| 19 Sept 2026 | Sporting CP | – | Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Arouca | 1–2 | Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Sporting CP | 6–0 | Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Sporting CP | 2–2 | Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sporting CP | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 14 |
| 5 | Arouca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 |