Spain vs Croatia: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Spain take on Croatia in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at Bernabéu. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Spain sit 1st in the UEFA Nations League on 3 points from 1 game, while Croatia are 2nd on 3 points.

Spain come into this fixture having won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games (WWDWW), scoring in 4 of them.

Croatia come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (LWWLW), scoring in every game.

In their last 9 meetings, Spain have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 2 against Croatia. These fixtures have averaged 2.9 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Defensively, Spain kept 4 clean sheets and Croatia kept 1 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Spain vs Croatia is Home win either half with a 88% confidence rating at odds of 1.15. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.9 goals per game, 33% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Spain WWDWW, Croatia LWWLW), the 1-place gap between the sides in the table.