Romania vs Sweden: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Romania take on Sweden in the UEFA Nations League on Monday, 5 October 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Romania sit 4th in the UEFA Nations League on 0 points from 4 games, while Sweden are 1st on 10 points.

Final result: Romania 0–1 Sweden. Sweden won the match.

Romania come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 4 games (LLLL), scoring in 2 of them.

Sweden come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (LWWDW), scoring in 4 of them.

In their last 5 meetings, Romania have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 against Sweden. These fixtures have averaged 1.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

Defensively, Romania kept 1 clean sheet and Sweden kept 1 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Romania vs Sweden is Away Team to Score at least one goal with a 85% confidence rating at odds of 1.19. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (1.8 goals per game, 40% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Romania LLLL, Sweden LWWDW), the 3-place gap between the sides in the table.