
Primeira Liga · 11 October 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
Away To Score
Away Team to Score at least one goal
Moderate
confidence
Value analysis
-1% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Rio Ave take on Nacional in the Primeira Liga on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Rio Ave sit 16th in the Primeira Liga on 4 points from 7 games, while Nacional are 15th on 4 points.
Rio Ave come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games (WLLDL), scoring in 2 of them.
Nacional come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games (LLLLL), scoring in 2 of them.
In their last 15 meetings, Rio Ave have won 6, drawn 5 and lost 2 against Nacional. These fixtures have averaged 2.3 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.
Defensively, Rio Ave kept 4 clean sheets and Nacional kept 3 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Rio Ave vs Nacional is Away Team to Score at least one goal with a 73% confidence rating at odds of 1.36. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.3 goals per game, 47% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Rio Ave WLLDL, Nacional LLLLL), the 1-place gap between the sides in the table.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar 2027 | Nacional | – | Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Rio Ave | – | Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Nacional | 4–0 | Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Rio Ave | 1–1 | Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| 10 May 2025 | Nacional | 3–3 | Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |