QPR vs Derby: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

QPR take on Derby in the Championship on Wednesday, 14 October 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, QPR sit 8th in the Championship on 14 points from 9 games, while Derby are 23rd on 6 points.

Final result: QPR 4–1 Derby. QPR won the match.

QPR come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games (DDDDW), scoring in 4 of them.

Derby come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games (LLDDL), scoring in 4 of them.

In their last 15 meetings, QPR have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 5 against Derby. These fixtures have averaged 1.9 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

Defensively, QPR kept 3 clean sheets and Derby kept 4 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for QPR vs Derby is Home Team to Score at least one goal with a 76% confidence rating at odds of 1.31. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (1.9 goals per game, 40% both-teams-to-score), recent form (QPR DDDDW, Derby LLDDL), the 15-place gap between the sides in the table.