UEFA Nations League · 24 September 2026
Match centre
Our prediction
H2UP
Home Team to Score at least two goals first before their opponent
High
confidence
Value analysis
+0% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Portugal take on Wales in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday, 24 September 2026 at Estádio da Luz. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Portugal come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (DWDWL), scoring in 3 of them.
In their last 3 meetings, Portugal have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 against Wales. These fixtures have averaged 0.7 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Defensively, Portugal kept 1 clean sheet and Wales kept 0 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Portugal vs Wales is Home Team to Score at least two goals first before their opponent with a 87% confidence rating at odds of 1.15. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (0.7 goals per game, 0% both-teams-to-score).
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov 2026 | Wales | – | Portugal | UEFA Nations League |
| 24 Sept 2026 | Portugal | – | Wales | UEFA Nations League |
| 06 Jul 2016 | Portugal | 2–0 | Wales | Euro Championship |
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
