
Ligue 1 · 4 September 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
H/OV2.5
Home or over 2 goals
High
confidence
Value analysis
+15% edge · ValueOur model rates this 15% more likely than the odds imply — a potential value edge.
Paris Saint Germain take on Monaco in the Ligue 1 on Friday, 4 September 2026 at Parc des Princes. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Paris Saint Germain sit 13th in the Ligue 1 on 2 points from 3 games, while Monaco are 1st on 9 points.
Final result: Paris Saint Germain 1–2 Monaco. Monaco won the match.
Paris Saint Germain come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 4 games (DDDL), scoring in 3 of them.
Monaco come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (DLWWW), scoring in every game.
In their last 15 meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 4 against Monaco. These fixtures have averaged 3.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.
Defensively, Paris Saint Germain kept 4 clean sheets and Monaco kept 3 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco is Home or over 2 goals with a 100% confidence rating at odds of 1.18. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (3.0 goals per game, 53% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Paris Saint Germain DDDL, Monaco DLWWW), the 12-place gap between the sides in the table.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2027 | Monaco | – | Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| 04 Sept 2026 | Paris Saint Germain | 1–0 | Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| 06 Mar 2026 | Paris Saint Germain | 1–3 | Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| 25 Feb 2026 | Paris Saint Germain | 2–2 | Monaco | UEFA Champions League |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Monaco | 2–3 | Paris Saint Germain | UEFA Champions League |