Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Newcastle take on Aston Villa in the Premier League on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at St. James' Park. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Newcastle sit 11th in the Premier League on 8 points from 6 games, while Aston Villa are 17th on 5 points.

Final result: Newcastle 0–1 Aston Villa. Aston Villa won the match.

Newcastle come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games (WLWLL), scoring in 4 of them.

Aston Villa come into this fixture having won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games (WWDWW), scoring in every game.

In their last 15 meetings, Newcastle have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 4 against Aston Villa. These fixtures have averaged 2.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

Defensively, Newcastle kept 4 clean sheets and Aston Villa kept 4 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Newcastle vs Aston Villa is Away or over 2 goals with a 83% confidence rating at odds of 1.2. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.8 goals per game, 40% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Newcastle WLWLL, Aston Villa WWDWW), the 6-place gap between the sides in the table.