UEFA Nations League · 4 October 2026
Match centre
Our prediction
H2UP
Home Team to Score at least two goals first before their opponent
High
confidence
Value analysis
+2% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
The Netherlands claimed a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Serbia in their UEFA Nations League encounter at the Johan Cruijff Arena on 4 October 2026.
The contest was tightly balanced during the opening 45 minutes, with both teams finding the net to head into the interval level at 1-1.
The Dutch side managed to make the decisive breakthrough in the second half, securing the crucial goal to lock in the 2-1 win.
This outcome continues the recent head-to-head record between the two nations, leaving the Netherlands with one win and Serbia with zero from their last one meetings.
Referee Donatas Rumsas officiated the match at the Johan Cruijff Arena.
Netherlands take on Serbia in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday, 4 October 2026 at Johan Cruijff Arena. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Netherlands sit 1st in the UEFA Nations League on 8 points from 4 games, while Serbia are 4th on 0 points.
Final result: Netherlands 2–1 Serbia. Netherlands won the match.
Netherlands come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games (DDWDW), scoring in every game.
Serbia come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 4 games (LLLL), scoring in 3 of them.
In their last 2 meetings, Netherlands have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 against Serbia. These fixtures have averaged 1.5 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Defensively, Netherlands kept 0 clean sheets and Serbia kept 0 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Netherlands vs Serbia is Home Team to Score at least two goals first before their opponent with a 85% confidence rating at odds of 1.2. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (1.5 goals per game, 50% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Netherlands DDWDW, Serbia LLLL), the 3-place gap between the sides in the table.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct 2026 | Netherlands | – | Serbia | UEFA Nations League |
| 27 Sept 2026 | Serbia | 1–2 | Netherlands | UEFA Nations League |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
