
UEFA Nations League · 4 October 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
H2UP
Home Team to Score at least two goals first before their opponent
High
confidence
Value analysis
+2% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Netherlands take on Serbia in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday, 4 October 2026 at Johan Cruijff Arena. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Netherlands sit 2nd in the UEFA Nations League on 5 points from 3 games, while Serbia are 4th on 0 points.
Netherlands come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games (WDDWD), scoring in every game.
Serbia come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 3 games (LLL), scoring in 2 of them.
In their last 2 meetings, Netherlands have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 against Serbia. These fixtures have averaged 1.5 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Defensively, Netherlands kept 0 clean sheets and Serbia kept 0 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Netherlands vs Serbia is Home Team to Score at least two goals first before their opponent with a 85% confidence rating at odds of 1.2. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (1.5 goals per game, 50% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Netherlands WDDWD, Serbia LLL), the 2-place gap between the sides in the table.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct 2026 | Netherlands | – | Serbia | UEFA Nations League |
| 27 Sept 2026 | Serbia | 1–2 | Netherlands | UEFA Nations League |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.