Nacional vs Estrela: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Nacional take on Estrela in the Primeira Liga on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Estádio da Madeira. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Nacional sit 12th in the Primeira Liga on 4 points from 5 games, while Estrela are 9th on 6 points.

Final result: Nacional 2–3 Estrela. Estrela won the match.

Nacional come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games (DWLLL), scoring in 3 of them.

Estrela come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 4 games (DDWD), scoring in every game.

In their last 11 meetings, Nacional have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 against Estrela. These fixtures have averaged 1.5 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 18% of them.

Defensively, Nacional kept 4 clean sheets and Estrela kept 5 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.