
Primeira Liga · 31 October 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
Home Win to Nil No
Will Home Team win the game and keep a clean sheet at regular time
Moderate
confidence
Value analysis
+0% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Moreirense take on Estrela in the Primeira Liga on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Moreirense sit 10th in the Primeira Liga on 11 points from 9 games, while Estrela are 12th on 10 points.
Moreirense come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (WDLWW), scoring in 4 of them.
Estrela come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games (DLLLL), scoring in 2 of them.
In their last 11 meetings, Moreirense have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 1 against Estrela. These fixtures have averaged 2.5 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
Defensively, Moreirense kept 3 clean sheets and Estrela kept 2 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Moreirense vs Estrela is Home Win to Nil No with a 73% confidence rating at odds of 1.37. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.5 goals per game, 55% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Moreirense WDLWW, Estrela DLLLL), the 2-place gap between the sides in the table.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2027 | Estrela | – | Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| 31 Oct 2026 | Moreirense | – | Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| 02 May 2026 | Moreirense | 3–2 | Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Estrela | 0–0 | Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| 02 Mar 2025 | Moreirense | 1–1 | Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |