Monaco vs Toulouse: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Monaco take on Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Stade Louis-II. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Monaco sit 1st in the Ligue 1 on 13 points from 5 games, while Toulouse are 13th on 5 points.

Monaco come into this fixture having won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games (WWWDW), scoring in every game.

Toulouse come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (LDLDW), scoring in 3 of them.

In their last 15 meetings, Monaco have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 2 against Toulouse. These fixtures have averaged 2.3 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

Defensively, Monaco kept 3 clean sheets and Toulouse kept 0 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Monaco vs Toulouse is Home Team to Score at least one goal with a 85% confidence rating at odds of 1.15. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.3 goals per game, 60% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Monaco WWWDW, Toulouse LDLDW), the 12-place gap between the sides in the table.