Major League Soccer · 17 October 2026
Minnesota United FC
3 – 2
HT 0 – 2
St. Louis City
Match centre
Our prediction
Home To Score
Home Team to Score at least one goal
High
confidence
Value analysis
+0% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Minnesota United FC staged an extraordinary second-half turnaround to defeat St. Louis City 3-2 in Major League Soccer action. Overcoming a two-goal deficit at the interval, the hosts dominated the latter stages to maintain their strong form in this fixture, marking their seventh victory in the last nine meetings between the sides.
St. Louis City had established full control early on with a blistering start. Rafael Navarro Leal broke the deadlock just four minutes in, and Sang-bin Jung doubled the visitors' lead in the 10th minute. Operating in a 3-4-3 setup under Y. Damet, St. Louis controlled 55 percent of the possession and held a comfortable 2-0 advantage heading into half-time.
Minnesota United emerged with renewed purpose after the restart under head coach C. Knowles. Aziel Jackson initiated the fightback by finding the net in the 49th minute, before Kelvin Yeboah leveled terms at 2-2 in the 68th minute to completely shift the game's momentum.
The hosts sealed the dramatic victory in the 86th minute when Marcus Caldeira struck to cap the comeback. Minnesota finished the match with 26 total shots and 11 on target, outlasting a determined St. Louis side in an eventful clash overseen by referee Ramy Touchan.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Minnesota United FC take on St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Minnesota United FC sit 10th in the Major League Soccer on 34 points from 30 games, while St. Louis City are 2nd on 51 points.
Final result: Minnesota United FC 3–2 St. Louis City. Minnesota United FC won the match.
Minnesota United FC come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (LLDDW), scoring in every game.
St. Louis City come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (WWWDL), scoring in 4 of them.
In their last 10 meetings, Minnesota United FC have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 2 against St. Louis City. These fixtures have averaged 3.5 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 70% of them.
Defensively, Minnesota United FC kept 2 clean sheets and St. Louis City kept 0 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City is Home Team to Score at least one goal with a 92% confidence rating at odds of 1.09. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (3.5 goals per game, 70% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Minnesota United FC LLDDW, St. Louis City WWWDL), the 8-place gap between the sides in the table.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Minnesota United FC | 3–2 | St. Louis City | Major League Soccer |
| 13 Sept 2026 | St. Louis City | 4–2 | Minnesota United FC | Major League Soccer |
| 27 Jul 2025 | St. Louis City | 1–2 | Minnesota United FC | Major League Soccer |
| 21 May 2025 | Minnesota United FC | 3–2 | St. Louis City | US Open Cup |
| 18 May 2025 | Minnesota United FC | 3–0 | St. Louis City | Major League Soccer |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 51 |