Marseille vs Toulouse: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Marseille take on Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at Stade Orange Vélodrome. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Marseille sit 9th in the Ligue 1 on 12 points from 8 games, while Toulouse are 11th on 10 points.

Marseille come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (WLWLW), scoring in 3 of them.

Toulouse come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games (DWDWD), scoring in 4 of them.

In their last 15 meetings, Marseille have won 9, drawn 3 and lost 1 against Toulouse. These fixtures have averaged 3.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.

Defensively, Marseille kept 5 clean sheets and Toulouse kept 1 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Marseille vs Toulouse is Home or over 2 goals with a 83% confidence rating at odds of 1.21. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (3.2 goals per game, 53% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Marseille WLWLW, Toulouse DWDWD), the 2-place gap between the sides in the table.