Premier League · 24 May 2026
Manchester City
2 – 2
HT 1 – 0
Aston Villa
Match centre
Our prediction
Home To Score
Home Team to Score at least one goal
High
confidence
Value analysis
+15% edge · ValueOur model rates this 15% more likely than the odds imply — a potential value edge.
Manchester City take on Aston Villa in the Premier League on Sunday, 24 May 2026 at Etihad Stadium. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Final result: Manchester City 2–2 Aston Villa. the match ended level.
In their last 13 meetings, Manchester City have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 4 against Aston Villa. These fixtures have averaged 3.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 77% of them.
Defensively, Manchester City kept 0 clean sheets and Aston Villa kept 3 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Manchester City vs Aston Villa is Home Team to Score at least one goal with a 100% confidence rating at odds of 1.18. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (3.2 goals per game, 77% both-teams-to-score).
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
| 24 May 2026 | Manchester City FC | 1–2 | Aston Villa FC | Premier League |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Aston Villa FC | 1–0 | Manchester City FC | Premier League |
| 22 Apr 2025 | Manchester City FC | 2–1 | Aston Villa FC | Premier League |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Aston Villa FC | 2–1 | Manchester City FC | Premier League |
| 03 Apr 2024 | Manchester City FC | 4–1 | Aston Villa FC | Premier League |