
La Liga · 17 September 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
Home Win to Nil No
Will Home Team win the game and keep a clean sheet at regular time
High
confidence
Value analysis
-11% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Malaga take on Villarreal in the La Liga on Thursday, 17 September 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Malaga sit 18th in the La Liga on 3 points from 5 games, while Villarreal are 19th on 2 points.
Malaga come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (LDLDD), scoring in 2 of them.
Villarreal come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games (DDLLL), scoring in 4 of them.
In their last 15 meetings, Malaga have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 6 against Villarreal. These fixtures have averaged 1.7 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.
Defensively, Malaga kept 2 clean sheets and Villarreal kept 4 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Malaga vs Villarreal is Will Home Team win the game and keep a clean sheet at regular time with a 77% confidence rating at odds of 1.13. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (1.7 goals per game, 47% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Malaga LDLDD, Villarreal DDLLL), the 1-place gap between the sides in the table.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2027 | Villarreal | – | Malaga | La Liga |
| 17 Sept 2026 | Malaga | – | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 01 Apr 2018 | Malaga | 1–0 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 05 Nov 2017 | Villarreal | 2–0 | Malaga | La Liga |
| 12 Feb 2017 | Villarreal | 1–1 | Malaga | La Liga |