Luxembourg vs Iceland: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Luxembourg take on Iceland in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday, 29 September 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Luxembourg sit 4th in the UEFA Nations League on 3 points from 4 games, while Iceland are 1st on 8 points.

Final result: Luxembourg 0–3 Iceland. Iceland won the match.

Luxembourg come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games (WLLLL), scoring in 1 of them.

Iceland come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games (DWWDW), scoring in 4 of them.

In their last 4 meetings, Luxembourg have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 against Iceland. These fixtures have averaged 2.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Defensively, Luxembourg kept 0 clean sheets and Iceland kept 1 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Luxembourg vs Iceland is Home Win to Nil No with a 75% confidence rating at odds of 1.19. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.0 goals per game, 50% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Luxembourg WLLLL, Iceland DWWDW), the 3-place gap between the sides in the table.