UEFA Nations League · 29 September 2026
Match centre
Our prediction
Home Win to Nil No
Will Home Team win the game and keep a clean sheet at regular time
High
confidence
Value analysis
-9% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Luxembourg take on Iceland in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday, 29 September 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Luxembourg sit 1st in the UEFA Nations League on 3 points from 1 game, while Iceland are 3rd on 1 points.
Luxembourg come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 game (W), scoring in every game.
Iceland come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 game (D), scoring in every game.
In their last 4 meetings, Luxembourg have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 against Iceland. These fixtures have averaged 1.5 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Defensively, Luxembourg kept 0 clean sheets and Iceland kept 0 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Luxembourg vs Iceland is Home Win to Nil No with a 75% confidence rating at odds of 1.19. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (1.5 goals per game, 50% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Luxembourg W, Iceland D), the 2-place gap between the sides in the table.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2026 | Iceland | – | Luxembourg | UEFA Nations League |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Luxembourg | – | Iceland | UEFA Nations League |
| 13 Oct 2023 | Iceland | 1–1 | Luxembourg | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| 08 Sept 2023 | Luxembourg | 3–1 | Iceland | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luxembourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Iceland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
