
Premier League · 14 September 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
Home Win to Nil No
Will Home Team win the game and keep a clean sheet at regular time
High
confidence
Value analysis
-5% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Leeds take on Newcastle in the Premier League on Monday, 14 September 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Leeds sit 11th in the Premier League on 5 points from 3 games, while Newcastle are 10th on 5 points.
Leeds come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 3 games (WDD), scoring in every game.
Newcastle come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (DLDWD), scoring in 3 of them.
In their last 13 meetings, Leeds have won 2, drawn 5 and lost 4 against Newcastle. These fixtures have averaged 2.3 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.
Defensively, Leeds kept 2 clean sheets and Newcastle kept 5 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Leeds vs Newcastle is Will Home Team win the game and keep a clean sheet at regular time with a 75% confidence rating at odds of 1.25. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.3 goals per game, 46% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Leeds WDD, Newcastle DLDWD), the 1-place gap between the sides in the table.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2027 | Newcastle | – | Leeds | Premier League |
| 14 Sept 2026 | Leeds | – | Newcastle | Premier League |
| 07 Jan 2026 | Newcastle | 4–3 | Leeds | Premier League |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Leeds | 0–0 | Newcastle | Premier League |
| 13 May 2023 | Leeds | 2–2 | Newcastle | Premier League |