Leeds vs Newcastle: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Leeds take on Newcastle in the Premier League on Monday, 14 September 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Leeds sit 7th in the Premier League on 9 points from 6 games, while Newcastle are 11th on 8 points.

Final result: Leeds 4–1 Newcastle. Leeds won the match.

Leeds come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (DLWDL), scoring in 4 of them.

Newcastle come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (DWLWL), scoring in every game.

In their last 13 meetings, Leeds have won 2, drawn 5 and lost 4 against Newcastle. These fixtures have averaged 2.3 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.

Defensively, Leeds kept 2 clean sheets and Newcastle kept 5 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Leeds vs Newcastle is Home Win to Nil No with a 75% confidence rating at odds of 1.25. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.3 goals per game, 46% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Leeds DLWDL, Newcastle DWLWL), the 4-place gap between the sides in the table.