UEFA Nations League · 12 November 2026
Match centre
Our prediction
Home Win to Nil No
Will Home Team win the game and keep a clean sheet at regular time
High
confidence
Value analysis
+0% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Italy welcome France to the Stadio Olimpico for a high-profile UEFA Nations League fixture on Thursday 12 November 2026. Kick-off is set for 19:45 UTC, with Istvan Kovacs appointed as the referee for the contest in Rome.
The historical record over their last five meetings shows an evenly balanced rivalry. Both sides have claimed two victories each alongside one draw, producing a combined total of 16 goals across those matches.
Their recent encounters in the UEFA Nations League have provided plenty of drama. The two nations played out a 1-1 draw on 2 October 2026. Prior to that stalemate, both teams traded away victories in 2024, with France earning a 3-1 win on Italian soil on 17 November, following Italy's 3-1 success in France on 6 September.
Heading into this contest, the featured betting tip is for Italy to win the game and keep a clean sheet in regular time. This market is backed with a 78% confidence rating and is available at odds of 1.29.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Italy take on France in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday, 12 November 2026 at Stadio Olimpico. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Italy sit 2nd in the UEFA Nations League on 7 points from 4 games, while France are 1st on 10 points.
Italy come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games (LWDW), scoring in 3 of them.
France come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (LWWDW), scoring in every game.
In their last 6 meetings, Italy have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 against France. These fixtures have averaged 2.7 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Defensively, Italy kept 1 clean sheet and France kept 0 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Italy vs France is Home Win to Nil No with a 78% confidence rating at odds of 1.29. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.7 goals per game, 67% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Italy LWDW, France LWWDW), the 1-place gap between the sides in the table.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | Italy | – | France | UEFA Nations League |
| 02 Oct 2026 | France | 1–1 | Italy | UEFA Nations League |
| 17 Nov 2024 | Italy | 1–3 | France | UEFA Nations League |
| 06 Sept 2024 | France | 1–3 | Italy | UEFA Nations League |
| 01 Jun 2018 | France | 3–1 | Italy | Friendlies |
