Italy vs Belgium: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Italy take on Belgium in the UEFA Nations League on Friday, 25 September 2026 at Stadio Olimpico. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Italy sit 3rd in the UEFA Nations League on 0 points from 0 games, while Belgium are 4th on 0 points.

Belgium come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games (DWWWD), scoring in 3 of them.

In their last 7 meetings, Italy have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 against Belgium. These fixtures have averaged 1.9 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

Defensively, Italy kept 2 clean sheets and Belgium kept 0 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Italy vs Belgium is Away Win to Nil No with a 85% confidence rating at odds of 1.15. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (1.9 goals per game, 43% both-teams-to-score), the 1-place gap between the sides in the table.