Italy vs Belgium: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Italy take on Belgium in the UEFA Nations League on Friday, 25 September 2026 at Stadio Olimpico. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Italy sit 2nd in the UEFA Nations League on 7 points from 4 games, while Belgium are 3rd on 6 points.

Final result: Italy 0–2 Belgium. Belgium won the match.

Italy come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games (LWDW), scoring in 3 of them.

Belgium come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (DWLWL), scoring in 3 of them.

In their last 7 meetings, Italy have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 against Belgium. These fixtures have averaged 1.9 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

Defensively, Italy kept 2 clean sheets and Belgium kept 0 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Italy vs Belgium is Away Win to Nil No with a 85% confidence rating at odds of 1.15. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (1.9 goals per game, 43% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Italy LWDW, Belgium DWLWL), the 1-place gap between the sides in the table.