Iceland vs Estonia: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Iceland take on Estonia in the UEFA Nations League on Saturday, 26 September 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Iceland sit 1st in the UEFA Nations League on 7 points from 3 games, while Estonia are 2nd on 5 points.

Final result: Iceland 1–1 Estonia. the match ended level.

Iceland come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4 games (DWWD), scoring in 3 of them.

Estonia come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 4 games (DDWD), scoring in 2 of them.

In their last 3 meetings, Iceland have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0 against Estonia. These fixtures have averaged 0.7 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Defensively, Iceland kept 0 clean sheets and Estonia kept 0 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Iceland vs Estonia is Home or over 2 goals with a 75% confidence rating at odds of 1.18. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (0.7 goals per game, 33% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Iceland DWWD, Estonia DDWD), the 1-place gap between the sides in the table.