Heerenveen vs Excelsior: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Heerenveen take on Excelsior in the Eredivisie on Friday, 16 October 2026 at Abe Lenstra Stadion. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Heerenveen sit 10th in the Eredivisie on 9 points from 8 games, while Excelsior are 9th on 11 points.

Final result: Heerenveen 4–0 Excelsior. Heerenveen won the match.

Heerenveen come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (LDWLW), scoring in 3 of them.

Excelsior come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games (DLDLL), scoring in 4 of them.

In their last 15 meetings, Heerenveen have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 3 against Excelsior. These fixtures have averaged 2.1 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Defensively, Heerenveen kept 4 clean sheets and Excelsior kept 4 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Heerenveen vs Excelsior is Home or over 2 goals with a 81% confidence rating at odds of 1.23. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.1 goals per game, 33% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Heerenveen LDWLW, Excelsior DLDLL), the 1-place gap between the sides in the table.