
Primeira Liga · 20 September 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
Home To Score
Home Team to Score at least one goal
Moderate
confidence
Value analysis
-17% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Guimaraes take on Moreirense in the Primeira Liga on Sunday, 20 September 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Guimaraes sit 14th in the Primeira Liga on 4 points from 6 games, while Moreirense are 13th on 7 points.
Guimaraes come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games (LWLDL), scoring in 3 of them.
Moreirense come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games (LWLLW), scoring in 3 of them.
In their last 15 meetings, Guimaraes have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 3 against Moreirense. These fixtures have averaged 1.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Defensively, Guimaraes kept 1 clean sheet and Moreirense kept 2 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Guimaraes vs Moreirense is Home Team to Score at least one goal with a 70% confidence rating at odds of 1.15. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (1.8 goals per game, 33% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Guimaraes LWLDL, Moreirense LWLLW), the 1-place gap between the sides in the table.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2027 | Moreirense | – | Vitória SC | Primeira Liga |
| 20 Sept 2026 | Vitória SC | – | Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Vitória SC | 1–0 | Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Moreirense | 2–0 | Vitória SC | Primeira Liga |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Moreirense | 2–2 | Vitória SC | Primeira Liga |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Guimaraes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Moreirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 7 |