
UEFA Nations League · 1 October 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
Home Win to Nil No
Will Home Team win the game and keep a clean sheet at regular time
High
confidence
Value analysis
-4% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Greece take on Netherlands in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday, 1 October 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Greece sit 1st in the UEFA Nations League on 6 points from 2 games, while Netherlands are 2nd on 4 points.
Greece come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 2 games (WW), scoring in every game.
Netherlands come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games (WWDDW), scoring in every game.
In their last 5 meetings, Greece have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 against Netherlands. These fixtures have averaged 0.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Defensively, Greece kept 0 clean sheets and Netherlands kept 2 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Greece vs Netherlands is Home Win to Nil No with a 85% confidence rating at odds of 1.12. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (0.8 goals per game, 0% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Greece WW, Netherlands WWDDW), the 1-place gap between the sides in the table.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | Netherlands | – | Greece | UEFA Nations League |
| 01 Oct 2026 | Greece | – | Netherlands | UEFA Nations League |
| 16 Oct 2023 | Greece | 0–1 | Netherlands | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| 07 Sept 2023 | Netherlands | 3–0 | Greece | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| 28 May 2020 | Netherlands |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greece | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
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| Greece |
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