UEFA Nations League · 4 October 2026
Match centre
Our prediction
Home Win to Nil No
Will Home Team win the game and keep a clean sheet at regular time
High
confidence
Value analysis
-9% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Greece take on Germany in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Greece sit 1st in the UEFA Nations League on 7 points from 3 games, while Germany are 3rd on 4 points.
Greece come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games (WWD), scoring in every game.
Germany come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games (LLDLW), scoring in 4 of them.
In their last 4 meetings, Greece have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 against Germany. These fixtures have averaged 2.5 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Defensively, Greece kept 1 clean sheet and Germany kept 0 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Greece vs Germany is Home Win to Nil No with a 80% confidence rating at odds of 1.12. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.5 goals per game, 50% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Greece WWD, Germany LLDLW), the 2-place gap between the sides in the table.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct 2026 | Greece | – | Germany | UEFA Nations League |
| 27 Sept 2026 | Germany | 0–1 | Greece | UEFA Nations League |
| 07 Jun 2024 | Germany | 2–1 | Greece | Friendlies |
| 22 Jun 2012 | Germany | 4–2 | Greece | Euro Championship |
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
