
UEFA Nations League · 1 October 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
Home win either half
Home win either half
High
confidence
Value analysis
-4% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Germany take on Serbia in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday, 1 October 2026 at Signal Iduna Park. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Germany sit 3rd in the UEFA Nations League on 1 points from 2 games, while Serbia are 4th on 0 points.
Germany come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games (WLLDL), scoring in 4 of them.
Serbia come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 games (LL), scoring in every game.
In their last 4 meetings, Germany have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 against Serbia. These fixtures have averaged 0.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
Defensively, Germany kept 0 clean sheets and Serbia kept 1 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Germany vs Serbia is Home win either half with a 85% confidence rating at odds of 1.12. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (0.8 goals per game, 25% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Germany WLLDL, Serbia LL), the 1-place gap between the sides in the table.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | Serbia | – | Germany | UEFA Nations League |
| 01 Oct 2026 | Germany | – | Serbia | UEFA Nations League |
| 20 Mar 2019 | Germany | 1–1 | Serbia | Friendlies |
| 18 Jun 2010 | Germany | 0–1 | Serbia | World Cup |
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.