France vs Belgium: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

France take on Belgium in the UEFA Nations League on Monday, 5 October 2026 at Groupama Stadium. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, France sit 1st in the UEFA Nations League on 10 points from 4 games, while Belgium are 3rd on 6 points.

Final result: France 4–1 Belgium. France won the match.

France come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (LWWDW), scoring in every game.

Belgium come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (DWLWL), scoring in 3 of them.

In their last 7 meetings, France have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 0 against Belgium. These fixtures have averaged 1.9 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.

Defensively, France kept 4 clean sheets and Belgium kept 0 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for France vs Belgium is Home Team to Score at least one goal before their opponent with a 85% confidence rating at odds of 1.21. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (1.9 goals per game, 29% both-teams-to-score), recent form (France LWWDW, Belgium DWLWL), the 2-place gap between the sides in the table.