
UEFA Nations League · 5 October 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
1UP Home
Home Team to Score at least one goal before their opponent
High
confidence
Value analysis
+2% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
France take on Belgium in the UEFA Nations League on Monday, 5 October 2026 at Groupama Stadium. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, France sit 1st in the UEFA Nations League on 6 points from 2 games, while Belgium are 2nd on 3 points.
France come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (DLWWD), scoring in 4 of them.
Belgium come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (WDWLW), scoring in 3 of them.
In their last 7 meetings, France have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 0 against Belgium. These fixtures have averaged 1.9 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.
Defensively, France kept 4 clean sheets and Belgium kept 0 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for France vs Belgium is Home Team to Score at least one goal before their opponent with a 85% confidence rating at odds of 1.21. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (1.9 goals per game, 29% both-teams-to-score), recent form (France DLWWD, Belgium WDWLW), the 1-place gap between the sides in the table.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct 2026 | France | – | Belgium | UEFA Nations League |
| 28 Sept 2026 | Belgium | 0–1 | France | UEFA Nations League |
| 14 Oct 2024 | Belgium | 1–2 | France | UEFA Nations League |
| 09 Sept 2024 | France | 2–0 | Belgium | UEFA Nations League |
| 01 Jul 2024 | France | 1–0 | Belgium | Euro Championship |