UEFA Nations League · 15 November 2026
Match centre
Our prediction
H/OV2.5
Home or over 2 goals
High
confidence
Value analysis
+1% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Finland take on San Marino in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday, 15 November 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Finland sit 3rd in the UEFA Nations League on 10 points from 6 games, while San Marino are 4th on 0 points.
Final result: Finland 7–2 San Marino. Finland won the match.
Finland come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (DWLLW), scoring in 2 of them.
San Marino come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games (LLLLL), scoring in 2 of them.
In their last 4 meetings, Finland have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 against San Marino. These fixtures have averaged 4.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
Defensively, Finland kept 2 clean sheets and San Marino kept 0 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Finland vs San Marino is Home or over 2 goals with a 86% confidence rating at odds of 1.17. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (4.0 goals per game, 25% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Finland DWLLW, San Marino LLLLL), the 1-place gap between the sides in the table.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2026 | Finland | – | San Marino | UEFA Nations League |
| 26 Sept 2026 | San Marino | 0–7 | Finland | UEFA Nations League |
| 20 Nov 2023 | San Marino | 1–2 | Finland | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| 19 Jun 2023 | Finland | 6–0 | San Marino | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Finland | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 |
| 4 | San Marino | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -22 | 0 |
