
Bundesliga · 17 October 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
1X
Double Chance Home (1)
Moderate
confidence
Value analysis
+1% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
FC Schalke 04 take on FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, FC Schalke 04 sit 14th in the Bundesliga on 5 points from 5 games, while FSV Mainz 05 are 9th on 7 points.
Final result: FC Schalke 04 0–1 FSV Mainz 05. FSV Mainz 05 won the match.
FC Schalke 04 come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (DWDLL), scoring in 2 of them.
FSV Mainz 05 come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (WLWLW), scoring in every game.
In their last 15 meetings, FC Schalke 04 have won 8, drawn 3 and lost 2 against FSV Mainz 05. These fixtures have averaged 1.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 27% of them.
Defensively, FC Schalke 04 kept 8 clean sheets and FSV Mainz 05 kept 3 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 is Double Chance Home (1) with a 72% confidence rating at odds of 1.4. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (1.8 goals per game, 27% both-teams-to-score), recent form (FC Schalke 04 DWDLL, FSV Mainz 05 WLWLW), the 5-place gap between the sides in the table.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2027 | FSV Mainz 05 | – | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga |
| 17 Oct 2026 | FC Schalke 04 | – | FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 05 May 2023 | FSV Mainz 05 | 2–3 | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga |
| 09 Nov 2022 | FC Schalke 04 | 1–0 | FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 05 Mar 2021 | FC Schalke 04 | 0–0 | FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 |