UEFA Nations League · 3 October 2026
Match centre
Our prediction
Away Win to Nil No
Will Away Team win the game and keep a clean sheet at regular time
High
confidence
Value analysis
-6% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Estonia take on Luxembourg in the UEFA Nations League on Saturday, 3 October 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Estonia sit 2nd in the UEFA Nations League on 5 points from 3 games, while Luxembourg are 3rd on 3 points.
Final result: Estonia 1–0 Luxembourg. Estonia won the match.
Estonia come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 4 games (DDWD), scoring in 2 of them.
Luxembourg come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games (WLLL), scoring in 1 of them.
In their last 2 meetings, Estonia have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 0 against Luxembourg. These fixtures have averaged 0.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Defensively, Estonia kept 0 clean sheets and Luxembourg kept 0 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Estonia vs Luxembourg is Away Win to Nil No with a 75% confidence rating at odds of 1.23. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (0.0 goals per game, 0% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Estonia DDWD, Luxembourg WLLL), the 1-place gap between the sides in the table.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | Luxembourg | – | Estonia | UEFA Nations League |
| 03 Oct 2026 | Estonia | – | Luxembourg | UEFA Nations League |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
