UEFA Nations League · 12 November 2026
Match centre
Our prediction
H/OV2.5
Home or over 2 goals
High
confidence
Value analysis
-1% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
England take on Croatia in the UEFA Nations League at Wembley Stadium on Thursday 12 November 2026. Kick-off is set for 19:45 UTC, with referee Morten Krogh taking charge of the fixture.
The home side will look to continue their impressive form against Croatia after dominating their most recent clash. England secured a commanding 7-0 victory away from home when the teams met in the Nations League on 3 October 2026.
Over their last six meetings, England have claimed four victories, with Croatia winning once alongside one draw. These fixtures have seen plenty of attacking output, producing a total of 20 goals. Other recent encounters include a 4-2 World Cup win for England on 17 June 2026 and a 1-0 triumph for the Three Lions at the European Championship on 13 June 2021.
Given the recent results and scoring trends between the two sides, our tip for this matchup is Home or over 2 goals. This betting option comes with an 82% confidence level at odds of 1.21.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
England take on Croatia in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday, 12 November 2026 at Wembley Stadium. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, England sit 2nd in the UEFA Nations League on 6 points from 3 games, while Croatia are 3rd on 3 points.
England come into this fixture having won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (WLWWW), scoring in every game.
Croatia come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games (LWLLL), scoring in 4 of them.
In their last 7 meetings, England have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 against Croatia. These fixtures have averaged 2.9 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
Defensively, England kept 3 clean sheets and Croatia kept 1 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for England vs Croatia is Home or over 2 goals with a 82% confidence rating at odds of 1.21. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.9 goals per game, 43% both-teams-to-score), recent form (England WLWWW, Croatia LWLLL), the 1-place gap between the sides in the table.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | England | – | Croatia | UEFA Nations League |
| 03 Oct 2026 | Croatia | 0–7 | England | UEFA Nations League |
| 17 Jun 2026 | England | 4–2 | Croatia | World Cup |
| 13 Jun 2021 | England | 1–0 | Croatia | Euro Championship |
| 18 Nov 2018 | England | 2–1 | Croatia | UEFA Nations League |
