Derby vs Bolton: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Derby take on Bolton in the Championship on Friday, 6 November 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Derby sit 23rd in the Championship on 7 points from 14 games, while Bolton are 16th on 17 points.

Derby come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games (LLDLL), scoring in 3 of them.

Bolton come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (WDLLW), scoring in 4 of them.

In their last 15 meetings, Derby have won 8, drawn 3 and lost 2 against Bolton. These fixtures have averaged 2.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Defensively, Derby kept 7 clean sheets and Bolton kept 4 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Derby vs Bolton is Home Win to Nil No with a 70% confidence rating at odds of 1.42. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.0 goals per game, 33% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Derby LLDLL, Bolton WDLLW), the 7-place gap between the sides in the table.