Croatia vs Spain: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Croatia take on Spain in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at Stadion Maksimir. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Croatia sit 3rd in the UEFA Nations League on 3 points from 3 games, while Spain are 1st on 9 points.

Croatia come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games (WLWLL), scoring in 4 of them.

Spain come into this fixture having won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games (DWWWW), scoring in 4 of them.

In their last 9 meetings, Croatia have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 6 against Spain. These fixtures have averaged 3.4 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 44% of them.

Defensively, Croatia kept 1 clean sheet and Spain kept 4 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Croatia vs Spain is Away Team to Score at least one goal before their opponent with a 88% confidence rating at odds of 1.16. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (3.4 goals per game, 44% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Croatia WLWLL, Spain DWWWW), the 2-place gap between the sides in the table.