
Primeira Liga · 30 October 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
A/OV2.5
Away or over 2 goals
High
confidence
Value analysis
+0% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Casa Pia take on Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga on Friday, 30 October 2026 at Estádio Nacional. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Casa Pia sit 16th in the Primeira Liga on 7 points from 9 games, while Sporting CP are 3rd on 18 points.
Casa Pia come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (DLWLW), scoring in 3 of them.
Sporting CP come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (DWWLL), scoring in every game.
In their last 11 meetings, Casa Pia have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 9 against Sporting CP. These fixtures have averaged 3.3 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 45% of them.
Defensively, Casa Pia kept 0 clean sheets and Sporting CP kept 4 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Casa Pia vs Sporting CP is Away or over 2 goals with a 89% confidence rating at odds of 1.12. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (3.3 goals per game, 45% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Casa Pia DLWLW, Sporting CP DWWLL), the 13-place gap between the sides in the table.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2027 | Sporting CP | – | Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Casa Pia | – | Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Sporting CP | 3–0 | Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| 08 Aug 2025 | Casa Pia | 0–2 | Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| 09 Mar 2025 | Casa Pia | 1–3 | Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 |