
Primeira Liga · 12 September 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
1UP Away
Away Team to Score at least one goal before their opponent
High
confidence
Value analysis
+2% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Casa Pia take on FC Porto in the Primeira Liga on Saturday, 12 September 2026 at Estádio Nacional. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Casa Pia sit 18th in the Primeira Liga on 1 points from 5 games, while FC Porto are 1st on 15 points.
Casa Pia come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games (LLLLD), failing to score in any of them.
FC Porto come into this fixture having won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games (WWWWW), scoring in every game.
In their last 11 meetings, Casa Pia have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 7 against FC Porto. These fixtures have averaged 2.1 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 36% of them.
Defensively, Casa Pia kept 1 clean sheet and FC Porto kept 5 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Casa Pia vs FC Porto is Away Team to Score at least one goal before their opponent with a 90% confidence rating at odds of 1.13. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.1 goals per game, 36% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Casa Pia LLLLD, FC Porto WWWWW), the 17-place gap between the sides in the table.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2027 | FC Porto | – | Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| 12 Sept 2026 | Casa Pia | – | FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| 02 Feb 2026 | Casa Pia | 2–1 | FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| 24 Aug 2025 | FC Porto | 4–0 | Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Casa Pia | 0–1 | FC Porto | Primeira Liga |