UEFA Nations League · 26 September 2026
Match centre
Our prediction
Away Win to Nil No
Will Away Team win the game and keep a clean sheet at regular time
High
confidence
Value analysis
-7% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Luxembourg secured a 2-1 victory against Bulgaria in their UEFA Nations League encounter on 26 September 2026.
The contest was evenly balanced in the opening 45 minutes. Both teams got on the scoresheet before the interval, leaving the scoreline tied at 1-1 at half-time.
Luxembourg broke the deadlock in the second half, finding the net to claim the lead and hold on for all three points with a final 2-1 result.
Referee Sander van der Eijk took charge of the match. The outcome continues a head-to-head run where Bulgaria have won two and Luxembourg have won one of their last six meetings.
Bulgaria take on Luxembourg in the UEFA Nations League on Saturday, 26 September 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Going into the game, Bulgaria sit 4th in the UEFA Nations League on 1 points from 3 games, while Luxembourg are 3rd on 3 points.
Final result: Bulgaria 1–2 Luxembourg. Luxembourg won the match.
Bulgaria come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games (LDLW), scoring in 2 of them.
Luxembourg come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games (WLLL), scoring in 1 of them.
In their last 7 meetings, Bulgaria have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 against Luxembourg. These fixtures have averaged 1.4 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.
Defensively, Bulgaria kept 3 clean sheets and Luxembourg kept 2 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Bulgaria vs Luxembourg is Away Win to Nil No with a 75% confidence rating at odds of 1.22. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (1.4 goals per game, 29% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Bulgaria LDLW, Luxembourg WLLL), the 1-place gap between the sides in the table.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct 2026 | Luxembourg | – | Bulgaria | UEFA Nations League |
| 26 Sept 2026 | Bulgaria | – | Luxembourg | UEFA Nations League |
| 15 Nov 2024 | Luxembourg | 0–1 | Bulgaria | UEFA Nations League |
| 12 Oct 2024 | Bulgaria | 0–0 | Luxembourg | UEFA Nations League |
| 20 Nov 2022 | Luxembourg | 0–0 | Bulgaria | Friendlies |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
