
Premier League · 23 August 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
OV1.5
Predicts if total goals will be over 1 goals
High
confidence
Value analysis
+8% edge · ValueOur model rates this 8% more likely than the odds imply — a potential value edge.
Brighton take on Aston Villa in the Premier League on Sunday, 23 August 2026 at American Express Stadium. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Brighton sit 3rd in the Premier League on 10 points from 5 games, while Aston Villa are 16th on 4 points.
Final result: Brighton 4–0 Aston Villa. Brighton won the match.
Brighton come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (LDWWW), scoring in every game.
Aston Villa come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (DWLWW), scoring in 4 of them.
In their last 15 meetings, Brighton have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 8 against Aston Villa. These fixtures have averaged 2.7 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.
Defensively, Brighton kept 2 clean sheets and Aston Villa kept 5 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Brighton vs Aston Villa is Predicts if total goals will be over 1 goals with a 88% confidence rating at odds of 1.25. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.7 goals per game, 47% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Brighton LDWWW, Aston Villa DWLWW), the 13-place gap between the sides in the table.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr 2027 | Aston Villa | – | Brighton | Premier League |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Brighton | – | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Aston Villa | 1–0 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 03 Dec 2025 | Brighton | 3–4 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 02 Apr 2025 | Brighton | 0–3 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |