
Primeira Liga · 11 October 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
H/OV2.5
Home or over 2 goals
High
confidence
Value analysis
+1% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Benfica take on Guimaraes in the Primeira Liga on Sunday, 11 October 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Benfica sit 3rd in the Primeira Liga on 16 points from 7 games, while Guimaraes are 14th on 5 points.
Benfica come into this fixture having won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (WWWWL), scoring in every game.
Guimaraes come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (WLDLD), scoring in 3 of them.
In their last 15 meetings, Benfica have won 9, drawn 4 and lost 0 against Guimaraes. These fixtures have averaged 2.7 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Defensively, Benfica kept 8 clean sheets and Guimaraes kept 6 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Benfica vs Guimaraes is Home or over 2 goals with a 89% confidence rating at odds of 1.13. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.7 goals per game, 33% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Benfica WWWWL, Guimaraes WLDLD), the 11-place gap between the sides in the table.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar 2027 | Vitória SC | – | Benfica | Primeira Liga |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Benfica | – | Vitória SC | Primeira Liga |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Benfica | 3–0 | Vitória SC | Primeira Liga |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Vitória SC | 0–3 | Benfica | Primeira Liga |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Vitória SC | 0–3 | Benfica | Primeira Liga |