UEFA Nations League · 15 November 2026
Match centre
Our prediction
Home Win to Nil No
Will Home Team win the game and keep a clean sheet at regular time
Moderate
confidence
Value analysis
+1% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Belgium take on Italy in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday, 15 November 2026 at King Baudouin Stadium. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Belgium sit 3rd in the UEFA Nations League on 9 points from 5 games, while Italy are 1st on 10 points.
Belgium come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (LWLWW), scoring in 4 of them.
Italy come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (LWDWW), scoring in 4 of them.
In their last 7 meetings, Belgium have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 against Italy. These fixtures have averaged 2.1 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
Defensively, Belgium kept 1 clean sheet and Italy kept 2 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Belgium vs Italy is Home Win to Nil No with a 72% confidence rating at odds of 1.4. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.1 goals per game, 43% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Belgium LWLWW, Italy LWDWW), the 2-place gap between the sides in the table.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2026 | Belgium | – | Italy | UEFA Nations League |
| 25 Sept 2026 | Italy | 0–2 | Belgium | UEFA Nations League |
| 14 Nov 2024 | Belgium | 0–1 | Italy | UEFA Nations League |
| 10 Oct 2024 | Italy | 2–2 | Belgium | UEFA Nations League |
| 10 Oct 2021 | Italy | 2–1 |
| Belgium |
| UEFA Nations League |
