
Bundesliga · 17 October 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
H/OV2.5
Home or over 2 goals
High
confidence
Value analysis
-1% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Bayern München take on RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Allianz Arena. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Bayern München sit 3rd in the Bundesliga on 11 points from 5 games, while RB Leipzig are 7th on 9 points.
Final result: Bayern München 6–1 RB Leipzig. Bayern München won the match.
Bayern München come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games (WWDDW), scoring in every game.
RB Leipzig come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (WLWWL), scoring in 4 of them.
In their last 15 meetings, Bayern München have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 5 against RB Leipzig. These fixtures have averaged 3.9 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Defensively, Bayern München kept 3 clean sheets and RB Leipzig kept 1 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Bayern München vs RB Leipzig is Home or over 2 goals with a 92% confidence rating at odds of 1.08. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (3.9 goals per game, 67% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Bayern München WWDDW, RB Leipzig WLWWL), the 4-place gap between the sides in the table.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2027 | RB Leipzig | – | Bayern München | Bundesliga |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Bayern München | – | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Bayern München | 3–1 | RB Leipzig | Friendlies Clubs |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Bayern München | 2–0 | RB Leipzig | DFB Pokal |
| 17 Jan 2026 | RB Leipzig | 1–5 | Bayern München | Bundesliga |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bayern München | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 |