
UEFA Champions League · 21 October 2026


Bayern München
2 – 2
HT 1 – 1

Arsenal
Match centre
Our prediction
Home Win to Nil No
Will Home Team win the game and keep a clean sheet at regular time
Moderate
confidence
Value analysis
+0% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
Arsenal and Bayern München shared the spoils in an entertaining 2-2 UEFA Champions League draw at the Allianz Arena on 21 October 2026. The result leaves the recent head-to-head record finely balanced, with Bayern claiming six wins to Arsenal's five across their past 13 encounters.
Mikel Arteta's Arsenal side set up in a 4-3-3 formation and faced early disruption when Bukayo Saka was substituted after just 10 minutes, before Kai Havertz picked up a booking. The visitors broke the deadlock in the 25th minute through Eberechi Eze, whose goal was confirmed following a VAR review. Bayern München, marshalled by Vincent Kompany in a 4-2-3-1 system, rallied and found an equaliser in the 35th minute through Alphonso Davies. Following a caution for Arsenal's Ezri Konsa, Bayern made a change at the break with Kim Min-Jae withdrawn.
The hosts turned the tie around just past the hour mark when Harry Kane scored in the 61st minute to put Bayern ahead. Both managers adjusted their tactical setups soon after; Kompany introduced Ismael Saibari and Serge Gnabry, while Arteta took off Havertz and Bruno Guimarães in quick succession. Arsenal's persistence was rewarded in the 82nd minute when Declan Rice struck to make it 2-2.
The closing stages saw further substitutions as Martin Odegaard and goalscorer Davies were replaced in the 85th minute, followed by the introduction of Luis Díaz for Bayern in the 90th minute. Referee Davide Massa brought the contest to a close shortly after, with neither side able to carve out a decisive fifth goal on the night.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Bayern München take on Arsenal in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at Allianz Arena. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Bayern München sit 13th in the UEFA Champions League on 4 points from 2 games, while Arsenal are 9th on 6 points.
Final result: Bayern München 2–2 Arsenal. the match ended level.
Bayern München come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games (WDDWD), scoring in every game.
Arsenal come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (LWWWD), scoring in 4 of them.
In their last 14 meetings, Bayern München have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 5 against Arsenal. These fixtures have averaged 3.1 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.
Defensively, Bayern München kept 2 clean sheets and Arsenal kept 2 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Bayern München vs Arsenal is Home Win to Nil No with a 73% confidence rating at odds of 1.37. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (3.1 goals per game, 64% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Bayern München WDDWD, Arsenal LWWWD), the 4-place gap between the sides in the table.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | Bayern München | – | Arsenal | UEFA Champions League |
| 26 Nov 2025 | Arsenal | 3–1 | Bayern München | UEFA Champions League |
| 17 Apr 2024 | Bayern Munich | 1–0 | Arsenal | UEFA Champions League |
| 09 Apr 2024 | Arsenal | 2–2 | Bayern Munich | UEFA Champions League |
| 18 Jul 2019 | Arsenal | 2–1 | Bayern Munich | International Champions Cup |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bayern München | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |