
Community Shield · 16 August 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
OV1.5
Predicts if total goals will be over 1 goals
High
confidence
Value analysis
+13% edge · ValueOur model rates this 13% more likely than the odds imply — a potential value edge.
Arsenal take on Manchester City in the Community Shield on Sunday, 16 August 2026. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Final result: Arsenal 3–0 Manchester City. Arsenal won the match.
Arsenal come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 game (W), scoring in every game.
Manchester City come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 game (L), failing to score in any of them.
In their last 15 meetings, Arsenal have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 6 against Manchester City. These fixtures have averaged 2.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.
Defensively, Arsenal kept 2 clean sheets and Manchester City kept 3 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Arsenal vs Manchester City is Predicts if total goals will be over 1 goals with a 100% confidence rating at odds of 1.15. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.2 goals per game, 53% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Arsenal W, Manchester City L).
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2027 | Manchester City | – | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Arsenal | – | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Arsenal | – | Manchester City | Community Shield |
| 19 Apr 2026 | Manchester City | 2–1 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 22 Mar 2026 | Arsenal | 0–2 | Manchester City | League Cup |