
La Liga · 28 August 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
Home Win to Nil No
Will Home Team win the game and keep a clean sheet at regular time
High
confidence
Value analysis
+5% edge · ValueOur model rates this 5% more likely than the odds imply — a potential value edge.
Alaves take on Villarreal in the La Liga on Friday, 28 August 2026 at Estadio de Mendizorroza. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, Alaves sit 6th in the La Liga on 11 points from 7 games, while Villarreal are 8th on 8 points.
Final result: Alaves 1–0 Villarreal. Alaves won the match.
Alaves come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (WWLLD), scoring in 3 of them.
Villarreal come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games (LLLWW), scoring in every game.
In their last 15 meetings, Alaves have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 6 against Villarreal. These fixtures have averaged 2.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 73% of them.
Defensively, Alaves kept 1 clean sheet and Villarreal kept 1 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for Alaves vs Villarreal is Home Win to Nil No with a 90% confidence rating at odds of 1.18. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.8 goals per game, 73% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Alaves WWLLD, Villarreal LLLWW), the 2-place gap between the sides in the table.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2027 | Villarreal | – | Alaves | La Liga |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Alaves | – | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Alaves | 1–1 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Villarreal | 3–1 | Alaves | La Liga |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Alaves | 1–0 | Villarreal | La Liga |