Alaves vs Malaga: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Alaves take on Malaga in the La Liga on Friday, 23 October 2026 at Estadio de Mendizorroza. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Alaves sit 7th in the La Liga on 11 points from 9 games, while Malaga are 20th on 4 points.

Alaves come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games (LLDLL), scoring in 3 of them.

Malaga come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games (DLLDL), scoring in 4 of them.

In their last 8 meetings, Alaves have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 against Malaga. These fixtures have averaged 1.6 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 38% of them.

Defensively, Alaves kept 2 clean sheets and Malaga kept 1 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Alaves vs Malaga is Away Win to Nil No with a 79% confidence rating at odds of 1.27. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (1.6 goals per game, 38% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Alaves LLDLL, Malaga DLLDL), the 13-place gap between the sides in the table.